Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.143303 0.208034 0.282529 0.372387 0.475898 0.589743 0.722876
2026-01-18 0.067827 0.146265 0.252761 0.396181 0.575218 0.784266 1.040546
2026-01-25 0.031525 0.106390 0.225339 0.399665 0.629311 0.907379 1.257506
2026-02-01 0.007700 0.065087 0.181582 0.370931 0.635304 0.967286 1.396048
2026-02-08 0.000075 0.034151 0.139619 0.333936 0.622303 0.997407 1.493331
2026-02-15 NaN 0.019367 0.118321 0.322261 0.639573 1.062989 1.631947
2026-02-22 NaN 0.012386 0.109647 0.328582 0.680726 1.158683 1.807724
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006256 0.097036 0.325141 0.705936 1.232292 1.954972
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001589 0.079134 0.307757 0.707798 1.273007 2.059104
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001159 0.083286 0.334218 0.777503 1.406506 2.283502
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000853 0.087777 0.361413 0.848553 1.542171 2.511175
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000324 0.087144 0.377343 0.901729 1.653293 2.707190
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000327 0.095456 0.414752 0.992298 1.820412 2.981943
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000141 0.098798 0.441635 1.066902 1.966652 3.231227
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.092046 0.444911 1.102942 2.058851 3.409532
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.072456 0.414521 1.082176 2.070341 3.481078
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.052093 0.375139 1.042899 2.053354 3.513222
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.043026 0.362700 1.047874 2.098542 3.627157
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.040570 0.369438 1.086343 2.192306 3.806418
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.035337 0.365770 1.105736 2.258003 3.947816
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.026805 0.347220 1.096867 2.281440 4.031599
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.030507 0.375444 1.174722 2.433726 4.290887
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.034433 0.404385 1.253951 2.588179 4.553333